Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.070704 0.082988 0.096715 0.113187 0.132410 0.154133 0.180544
2025-12-28 0.053797 0.069955 0.089876 0.116215 0.150112 0.192259 0.248657
2026-01-04 0.044063 0.062077 0.086054 0.120246 0.167718 0.231276 0.322859
2026-01-11 0.037123 0.055901 0.082533 0.122967 0.182737 0.267790 0.398039
2026-01-18 0.031480 0.050232 0.078336 0.123388 0.193698 0.299160 0.469378
2026-01-25 0.026190 0.044030 0.072129 0.119427 0.196925 0.318777 0.524908
2026-02-01 0.021791 0.038432 0.065864 0.114151 0.196870 0.332645 0.572382
2026-02-08 0.018761 0.034586 0.061794 0.111702 0.200773 0.352873 0.632211
2026-02-15 0.016172 0.031080 0.057743 0.108580 0.202860 0.369918 0.688217
2026-02-22 0.014592 0.029158 0.056184 0.109611 0.212300 0.400629 0.771935
2026-03-01 0.013002 0.026964 0.053800 0.108709 0.217905 0.424834 0.846292
2026-03-08 0.011291 0.024274 0.050089 0.104693 0.216906 0.436358 0.897509
2026-03-15 0.010032 0.022415 0.047949 0.103916 0.223037 0.463974 0.987448
2026-03-22 0.009316 0.021614 0.047890 0.107516 0.238837 0.513286 1.129213
2026-03-29 0.008700 0.020934 0.047983 0.111451 0.255914 0.567481 1.288843
2026-04-05 0.008046 0.020055 0.047503 0.114026 0.270337 0.617857 1.447015
2026-04-12 0.007319 0.018879 0.046170 0.114428 0.279851 0.658638 1.589130
2026-04-19 0.006430 0.017157 0.043303 0.110753 0.279264 0.676463 1.680509
2026-04-26 0.005590 0.015420 0.040135 0.105855 0.274989 0.685075 1.751008
2026-05-03 0.004994 0.014223 0.038130 0.103581 0.276884 0.708609 1.861158
2026-05-10 0.004441 0.013049 0.036010 0.100683 0.276754 0.727105 1.961090
2026-05-17 0.004119 0.012468 0.035368 0.101640 0.286893 0.772764 2.137384
2026-05-24 0.003757 0.011712 0.034140 0.100802 0.292064 0.806233 2.285886